Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 111.921883 130.269127 152.388762 181.566267 219.913317 2.699403e+02 342.613641
2024-10-27 86.133260 107.168420 135.396686 177.809363 243.519339 3.490302e+02 552.121179
2024-11-03 77.715505 102.205960 138.252608 199.400570 311.615794 5.416500e+02 1206.400069
2024-11-10 75.108537 103.992769 150.455906 239.837378 439.219433 1.009343e+03 4608.447788
2024-11-17 66.317304 94.232325 141.249291 238.161369 481.263938 1.361570e+03 15127.528830
2024-11-24 58.799161 85.056152 130.727905 229.704972 501.501269 1.712104e+03 94045.790649
2024-12-01 54.108485 79.769851 125.979668 231.854603 555.229480 2.461430e+03 NaN
2024-12-08 50.685488 76.099134 123.436425 238.155986 630.997362 3.959284e+03 NaN
2024-12-15 47.231558 71.881300 118.978623 238.191202 686.724965 6.183507e+03 NaN
2024-12-22 42.938351 65.661745 109.473938 222.135199 661.325827 6.992062e+03 NaN
2024-12-29 41.023385 63.604964 108.303004 228.723416 752.319459 1.480583e+04 NaN
2025-01-05 38.619313 60.375733 104.131646 225.466267 792.025457 2.761244e+04 NaN
2025-01-12 37.014221 59.054402 105.168085 242.842622 1025.771784 2.821363e+07 NaN
2025-01-19 33.933005 54.601518 98.576569 234.180709 1081.301649 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 33.238880 54.783727 102.873815 266.105248 1661.288242 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 33.498671 56.940158 112.671299 329.231351 3596.991985 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 31.406078 53.809830 107.964737 326.423866 4339.400688 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 29.264720 50.340309 101.710273 312.926743 4641.691603 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 27.833824 48.280850 99.004892 316.326606 6104.623887 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.713791 46.787095 97.615966 326.364281 9182.611615 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.470959 44.888535 94.716445 326.419610 12438.544409 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.789387 41.855359 88.049547 300.965646 10512.823058 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 23.020334 40.848960 87.281505 311.357620 18021.235339 NaN NaN